Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Lebanese media said that Israeli tanks were moving about 20 kilometers away from Damascus. According to the early morning news of Lebanon's "Square" TV station on the 10th local time, Israeli troops had crossed the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone, entered the rural province of Damascus, Syria, and occupied several towns in the province near the Lebanese border. Israeli tanks are heading for Qatana, about 20 kilometers from Damascus. (CCTV News)
South Korea's ruling party is talking about letting Yin Xiyue resign in February or March next year, or will soon disclose the road map. According to several media reports on December 10, the ruling National Power Party of South Korea will announce the road map of South Korea's President Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal", which may announce the time and manner of Yin Xiyue's early resignation, including the different possibilities of "resignation in February and general election in April" or "resignation in March and general election in May". Lee Yang-soo, a member of the ruling party in charge of political stability, said that compared with impeachment, the timetables of the above two schemes have advanced faster, and Yin Xiyue's resignation and holding presidential elections will reduce uncertainty and minimize public opinion differences; "Yin Xiyue should step down in a safer and more dignified way than impeachment", and the party needs to make a decision on Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal" this week. Earlier, Li Zaiming, leader of South Korea's largest opposition party, stressed that Yin Xiyue must be successfully impeached on December 14th. (Interface News)General Administration of Customs: In the first 11 months, automobile exports were 762.97 billion yuan, up by 16.9%. According to the data of General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months, China exported 13.7 trillion yuan of mechanical and electrical products, up by 8.4%, accounting for 59.5% of China's total export value. Among them, automatic data processing equipment and its parts and components were 1.33 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.4%; 1.03 trillion yuan of integrated circuits, up by 20.3%; Mobile phones reached 874.45 billion yuan, down by 0.9%; Automobile was 762.97 billion yuan, up by 16.9%. In the same period, the export of labor products was 3.84 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.2%, accounting for 16.7%. Among them, clothing and clothing accessories were 1.03 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.9%; Textiles were 915.96 billion yuan, up 6%; Plastic products reached 681.09 billion yuan, up 6.9%. The export of agricultural products was 657.34 billion yuan, up by 4.6%. (General Administration of Customs)JPMorgan Chase: The cryptocurrency experienced a "milestone" month in November, and JPMorgan Chase's evaluation on the performance of cryptocurrency last month was "milestone". The agency said that Donald Trump's victory triggered a historic rebound in the encryption market. The market value in November increased by 45%, which is the best monthly return in the encryption market. In November, the US spot cryptocurrency ETF set another record. The monthly net sales of ETPs tracked by the bank in the United States set a record (about $7.6 billion).
Huasu Technology: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited is actively docking BMS-related products in the energy storage field. Huasu Technology said on the interactive platform on December 10 that the company and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited are actively docking BMS-related products in the energy storage field, and there is still uncertainty about whether they can reach cooperation in the later stage. Companies in the field of electric vehicle BMS have not been involved yet.Shengsi Artificial Intelligence Framework Summit will be held soon, and Shengsi Artificial Intelligence Framework Summit will be held on December 14th. The summit was hosted by Shengsi MindSpore Open Source Community and AITISA, and co-organized by Huawei and OpenI Qizhi Community. It included a keynote speech, four special forums, a closed round table, 70+ achievements display and two community meetings. It is reported that the on-site 15+ community partners will release the results of mainstream native large models. (science and technology innovation board Daily)Shenghong cooperated with many partners to build the first off-grid electric vehicle charging station in South Africa. Recently, Shenghong shares joined hands with MagicPower Shanghai Maizike Technology Co., Ltd., Zero Carbon Charge and Greencore Energy Solutions to jointly launch the first off-grid electric vehicle charging station in South Africa. The charging station is equipped with a 480kW split machine, including a host and three charging terminals, with a total of six charging guns, four of which are liquid-cooled and users can enjoy a cruising range of 400 kilometers only by charging for 10 minutes.